Machine learning-based multi-objective optimization of concentrated solar thermal gasification of biomass incorporating life cycle assessment and techno-economic analysis

Fang, Y., Li, X., Wang, X., Dai, L., Ruan, R. and You, S. (2024) Machine learning-based multi-objective optimization of concentrated solar thermal gasification of biomass incorporating life cycle assessment and techno-economic analysis. Energy Conversion and Management, 302, 118137. (doi: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.118137)

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Abstract

The combination of solar and biomass energy systems is regarded as a highly promising technology for tackling the challenges related to greenhouse gas emissions from energy generation and the increasing costs of energy production. This research centers on an integrated solar-bioenergy system, which includes a concentrated solar tower, thermal energy storage, and a combined cycle gas turbine. The system was evaluated using a multi-objective optimization approach considering life cycle assessment and cost-benefit analysis. The long short-term memory recurrent neural network algorithm with 5.1 % average error had been employed to capture the intricate temporal dependencies and dynamics of the system. The scenarios are expanded by using the Monte Carlo approach to address the challenges of limited specialized models and experiments for the system. The optimal solution is determined through the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution method. Carbon tax significantly influenced the results of the multi-objective optimization. The optimal configuration of the system could avoid the trade-off phenomenon when treating the carbon tax as revenue. The best scenario of the system with the cumulative reduction in global warming potential amounted to 415,960 tons of CO2-eq and a 30-year net present worth of €4,298 million. Without considering the carbon tax as revenue, the trade-off is present. The best scenario of the system with the cumulative reduction in global warming potential amounted to 132,615 tons of CO2-eq and net present worth of €3,042 million. The findings highlight the robust prospects of the system across environmental and economic dimensions.

Item Type:Articles
Additional Information:Siming You acknowledges the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Programme Grant (EP/V030515/1). This project was also partially funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101007976. Xiaonan Wang acknowledges the financial support from the National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFE0204600). All data supporting this study are provided in full in the paper.
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:You, Dr Siming and Li, Dr Xiang and Fang, Mr Yi
Authors: Fang, Y., Li, X., Wang, X., Dai, L., Ruan, R., and You, S.
College/School:College of Science and Engineering > School of Engineering
College of Science and Engineering > School of Engineering > Systems Power and Energy
Journal Name:Energy Conversion and Management
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0196-8904
ISSN (Online):1879-2227
Published Online:31 January 2024
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2024 The Authors
First Published:First published in Energy Conversion and Management 302:118137
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons licence

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
309846Decentralised water technologiesWilliam SloanEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)EP/V030515/1ENG - Infrastructure & Environment
311013CO-COOL Collaborative development of renewable/thermally driven and storage-integrated cooling technologiesZhibin YuEuropean Commission (EC)101007976ENG - Systems Power & Energy