Discretionary policy in a monetary union with sovereign debt

Leith, C. and Wren-Lewis, S. (2011) Discretionary policy in a monetary union with sovereign debt. European Economic Review, 55(1), pp. 93-117. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2010.11.007)

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Abstract

This paper examines the interactions between multiple national fiscal policymakers and a single monetary policy maker in response to shocks to government debt in some or all of the countries of a monetary union. We assume that national governments respond to excess debt in an optimal manner, but that they do not have access to a commitment technology. This implies that national fiscal policy gradually reduces debt: the lack of a commitment technology precludes a random walk in steady-state debt, but the need to maintain national competitiveness avoids excessively rapid debt reduction. If the central bank can commit, it adjusts its policies only slightly in response to higher debt, allowing national fiscal policy to undertake most of the adjustment. However, if it cannot commit, then optimal monetary policy involves using interest rates to rapidly reduce debt, with significant welfare costs. We show that in these circumstances the central bank would do better to ignore national fiscal policies in formulating its policy.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Leith, Professor Campbell
Authors: Leith, C., and Wren-Lewis, S.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics
Journal Name:European Economic Review
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0014-2921
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2011 Elsevier
First Published:First published in European Economic Review 55(1):93-117
Publisher Policy:Reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
480171New Directions in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Analysis at the Macroeconomic LevelCampbell LeithEconomic & Social Research Council (ESRC)ES/G006873/1BUS - ECONOMICS