Demographic transitions: analyzing the effects of mortality on fertility

Angeles, L. (2010) Demographic transitions: analyzing the effects of mortality on fertility. Journal of Population Economics, 23(1), pp. 99-120. (doi: 10.1007/s00148-009-0255-6)

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The effect of mortality reductions on fertility is one of the main mechanisms stressed by the recent growth literature in order to explain demographic transitions. We analyze the empirical relevance of this mechanism based on the experience of developed and developing countries since 1960. We distinguish between the effects on gross and net fertility, take into account the dynamic nature of the relationship, and control for alternative explanatory factors and for endogeneity. Our results show that mortality plays a large role in fertility reductions, that the change in fertility behavior comes with a lag of about 10 years and that both net and gross fertility are affected. We find comparatively little support for explanations of the demographic transition based on changes in GDP per capita.

Item Type:Articles
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Angeles, Professor Luis
Authors: Angeles, L.
Subjects:H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics
Journal Name:Journal of Population Economics
ISSN (Online):1432-1475
Published Online:16 May 2009

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