Bayesian inference of cardiac models emulated with a time series Gaussian process

Ge, Y., Husmeier, D. , Lazarus, A., Rabbani, A. and Gao, H. (2023) Bayesian inference of cardiac models emulated with a time series Gaussian process. In: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications. International Aset Inc., p. 149. ISBN 9781990800252 (doi: 10.11159/icsta23.149)

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Abstract

The objective of this research is to estimate the specific biophysical parameters of a cardiac mechanics model using a time series of variables that can be acquired in the clinic. This method is driven by the need to infer the passive stiffness of the myocardium to diagnose cardiophysiological diseases, which requires the measurement of the volume of the left ventricle (LV) of the heart at different time points. Although there have been many advancements in cardiac models, their computation is complex and costly. To overcome this challenge, we propose a method that utilizes a Gaussian process to construct a statistical model for emulation. Since the LV volumes are acquired in a time series, we employ the Kronecker product to compute two covariance matrices separately for time and biophysical parameters. Once we construct an accurate emulator to represent the passive filling process of the cardiac mechanics model during diastole, we can estimate the biophysical parameters inversely. We also aim to evaluate the impact of increasing the number of time points on reducing the uncertainty of the inverse estimation in this study.

Item Type:Book Sections
Additional Information:This work has been supported by EPSRC (grant reference numbers EPT017899/1, EP/S020950/1, EP/R511705/1) and the British Heart Foundation (PG/22/10930).
Keywords:Gaussian process, time series kernel, inverse estimate, cardiac model.
Status:Published
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Gao, Dr Hao and Husmeier, Professor Dirk
Authors: Ge, Y., Husmeier, D., Lazarus, A., Rabbani, A., and Gao, H.
Subjects:Q Science > QA Mathematics
College/School:College of Science and Engineering > School of Mathematics and Statistics > Statistics
College of Science and Engineering > School of Mathematics and Statistics > Mathematics
Publisher:International Aset Inc.
ISSN:2562-7767
ISBN:9781990800252
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2023 International ASET Inc.
First Published:First published in Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'24): 149
Publisher Policy:Reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher
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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
308255The SofTMech Statistical Emulation and Translation HubDirk HusmeierEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)EP/T017899/1M&S - Statistics
303231A whole-heart model of multiscale soft tissue mechanics and fluid structureinteraction for clinical applications (Whole-Heart-FSI)Xiaoyu LuoEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)EP/S020950/1M&S - Mathematics
300137Impact Acceleration Account - University of Glasgow 2017Jonathan CooperEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)EP/R511705/1Research and Innovation Services
316944A MODELLING STUDY OF RIGHT VENTRICULAR FUNCTION IN REPAIRED TETRALOGY OF FALLOT FOR PREDICTING OUTCOME AND IMPACT OF PULMONARY VALVE REPLACEMENTHao GaoBritish Heart Foundation (BHF)PG/22/10930M&S - Mathematics