The public health implications of the cost-of-living crisis: outlining mechanisms and modelling consequences

Broadbent, P., Thomson, R. , Kopasker, D. , McCartney, G. , Meier, P. , Richiardi, M., McKee, M. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2023) The public health implications of the cost-of-living crisis: outlining mechanisms and modelling consequences. Lancet Regional Health - Europe, 27, 100585. (doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100585) (PMID:37035237) (PMCID:PMC10068020)

[img] Text
290993.pdf - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.

497kB

Abstract

The UK, and other high-income countries, are experiencing substantial increases in living costs. Several overlapping and intersecting economic crises threaten physical and mental health in the immediate and longer term. Policy responses may buffer against the worst effects (e.g. welfare support) or further undermine health (e.g. austerity). We explore fundamental causes underpinning the cost-of-living crisis, examine potential pathways by which the crisis could impact population health and use a case study to model potential impacts of one aspect of the crisis on a specific health outcome. Our modelling illustrates how policy approaches can substantially protect health and avoid exacerbating health inequalities. Targeting support at vulnerable households is likely to protect health most effectively. The current crisis is likely to be the first of many in era of political and climate uncertainty. More refined integrated economic and health modelling has the potential to inform policy integration, or ‘health in all policies’.

Item Type:Articles
Additional Information:PB, RT, DK and SVK acknowledge funding from the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/2) and Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU17 and SPHSU20). RT is funded by the Wellcome Trust (218105/Z/19/Z). DK and SVK are funded by the European Research Council (949582). SVK additionally acknowledges funding from a NRS Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02). SVK is a Public Health Champion for Understanding Society. PM acknowledges funding from the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/5 and MR/S037578/2) and Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU20).
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Katikireddi, Professor Vittal and McKee, Mr Martin and Kopasker, Dr Daniel and McCartney, Professor Gerard and Broadbent, Dr Philip and Thomson, Dr Rachel and Meier, Professor Petra
Authors: Broadbent, P., Thomson, R., Kopasker, D., McCartney, G., Meier, P., Richiardi, M., McKee, M., and Katikireddi, S. V.
College/School:College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Health & Wellbeing > MRC/CSO SPHSU
College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Medicine, Dentistry & Nursing
College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Sociology Anthropology and Applied Social Sciences
Journal Name:Lancet Regional Health - Europe
Publisher:Lancet Publishing Group
ISSN:2666-7762
ISSN (Online):2666-7762
Published Online:13 February 2023
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2023 The Authors
First Published:First published in Lancet Regional Health - Europe 27: 100585
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons License

University Staff: Request a correction | Enlighten Editors: Update this record

Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
3048230021Inequalities in healthAlastair LeylandMedical Research Council (MRC)MC_UU_00022/2HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
3048230071Inequalities in healthAlastair LeylandOffice of the Chief Scientific Adviser (CSO)SPHSU17HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
306430Predicting the impacts of universal basic income on mental health inequalities in the UK population: a microsimulation modelRachel ThomsonWellcome Trust (WELLCOTR)218105/Z/19/ZSHW - MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit
308851HEEDSrinivasa KatikireddiEuropean Research Council (ERC)949582SHW - MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit
172690Understanding the impacts of welfare policy on health: A novel data linkage studySrinivasa KatikireddiOffice of the Chief Scientific Adviser (CSO)SCAF/15/02SHW - Public Health
3048230051Systems science research in public healthPetra MeierMedical Research Council (MRC)MC_UU_00022/5HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
313944System-science Informed Public Health and Economic Research for non-communicable Disease Prevention (the SIPHER consortium)Petra MeierMedical Research Council (MRC)MR/S037578/2SHW - MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit
3048230101Systems science research in public healthPetra MeierOffice of the Chief Scientific Adviser (CSO)SPHSU20HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit