A2B-COVID: a tool for rapidly evaluating potential SARS-CoV-2 transmission events

Illingworth, C. J.R. et al. (2022) A2B-COVID: a tool for rapidly evaluating potential SARS-CoV-2 transmission events. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 39(3), msac025. (doi: 10.1093/molbev/msac025) (PMID:35106603) (PMCID:PMC8892943)

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Abstract

Identifying linked cases of infection is a critical component of the public health response to viral infectious diseases. In a clinical context, there is a need to make rapid assessments of whether cases of infection have arrived independently onto a ward, or are potentially linked via direct transmission. Viral genome sequence data are of great value in making these assessments, but are often not the only form of data available. Here, we describe A2B-COVID, a method for the rapid identification of potentially linked cases of COVID-19 infection designed for clinical settings. Our method combines knowledge about infection dynamics, data describing the movements of individuals, and evolutionary analysis of genome sequences to assess whether data collected from cases of infection are consistent or inconsistent with linkage via direct transmission. A retrospective analysis of data from two wards at Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (CUH) during the first wave of the pandemic showed qualitatively different patterns of linkage between cases on designated COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 wards. The subsequent real-time application of our method to data from the second epidemic wave highlights its value for monitoring cases of infection in a clinical context.

Item Type:Articles
Additional Information:This work was funded by COG-UK, which is supported by funding from the Medical Research Council (MRC) part of UK Research & Innovation (UKRI), the National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) and Genome Research Limited, operating as the Wellcome Sanger Institute; We also acknowledge the support from the Wellcome (Senior Clinical Fellowship to MPW (ref: 108070/Z/15/Z), Senior Research Fellowship to SB (ref: 215515/Z/19/Z), Senior Fellowship to IG (ref: 207498/Z/17/Z); Collaborative Grant to CJH (ref: 204870/Z/16/Z); the Academy of Medical Sciences & the Health Foundation (Clinician Scientist Fellowship to MET), the NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (to BW, MET) and the NIHR Clinical Research Network Greenshoots award (to EGK). CJRI was supported by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) Grant SFB 1310 and by UKRI through the JUNIPE modelling consortium [grant number MR/V038613/1]. We acknowledge MRC funding (ref: MC_UU_00002/11).
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Illingworth, Dr Chris
Creator Roles:
Illingworth, C.Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing
Authors: Illingworth, C. J.R., Hamilton, W. L., Jackson, C., Warne, B., Popay, A., Meredith, L., Hosmillo, M., Jahun, A., Fieldman, T., Routledge, M., Houldcroft, C. J., Caller, L., Caddy, S., Yakovleva, A., Hall, G., Khokhar, F. A., Feltwell, T., Pinckert, M. L., Georgana, I., Chaudhry, Y., Curran, M., Parmar, S., Sparkes, D., Rivett, L., Jones, N. K., Sridhar, S., Forrest, S., Dymond, T., Grainger, K., Workman, C., Gkrania-Klotsas, E., Brown, N. M., Weekes, M. P., Baker, S., Peacock, S. J., Gouliouris, T., Goodfellow, I., De Angelis, D., and Török, M. E.
College/School:College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Infection & Immunity
College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Infection & Immunity > Centre for Virus Research
Journal Name:Molecular Biology and Evolution
Publisher:Oxford University Press
ISSN:0737-4038
ISSN (Online):1537-1719
Published Online:02 February 2022
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2022 The Authors
First Published:First published in Molecular Biology and Evolution 39(3):msac025
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons License

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
174258Exploiting a human challenge model to understand the pathogenesis of cytomegalovirusAndrew DavisonWellcome Trust (WELLCOTR)204870/Z/16/Z (17/0008)III-MRC-GU Centre for Virus Research