Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on electricity demand in the UK based on multivariate time series forecasting with Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory

Liu, X. and Lin, Z. (2021) Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on electricity demand in the UK based on multivariate time series forecasting with Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory. Energy, 227, 120455. (doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120455)

Abstract

Due to lockdown measures taken by the UK government during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the national electricity demand profile presented a notably different performance. The Coronavirus disease 2019 crisis has provided a unique opportunity to investigate how such a landscape-scale lockdown can influence the national electricity system. However, the impacts of social and economic restrictions on daily electricity demands are still poorly understood. This paper investigated how the UK-wide electricity demand was influenced during the Coronavirus disease 2019 crisis based on multivariate time series forecasting with Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory, to comprehend its correlations with containment measures, weather conditions, and renewable energy supplies. A deep-learning-based predictive model was established for daily electricity demand time series forecasting, which was trained by multiple features, including the number of coronavirus tests (smoothed), wind speed, ambient temperature, biomass, solar & wind power supplies, and historical electricity demand. Besides, the effects of Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on the Net-Zero target of 2050 were also studied through an interlinked approach.

• Item Type: Articles
• Keywords: Coronavirus disease 2019, electricity demand, renewable power supplies, Bi-LSTM.
• Status: Published
• Refereed: Yes
• Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID: Liu, Dr Xiaolei

Creator Roles

Liu, X.: Conceptualization, Software, Investigation, Data curation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review and editing

• Authors: Liu, X., and Lin, Z.
• Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General)
• College/School: College of Science and Engineering > School of Engineering > Systems Power and Energy
• Journal Name: Energy
• Publisher: Elsevier
• ISSN: 0360-5442
• ISSN (Online): 1873-6785
• Published Online: 23 March 2021
• Copyright Holders: Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd.
• First Published: First published in Energy 227: 120455
• Publisher Policy: Reproduced in accordance with the publisher copyright policy