Theorizing the influence of wartime legacies on political stability after rebel victories

Wedgwood Young, E. (2023) Theorizing the influence of wartime legacies on political stability after rebel victories. Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 46(5), pp. 703-727. (doi: 10.1080/1057610X.2020.1780005)

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This paper develops a theory which explains how wartime processes and relationships result in positive or negative ‘wartime legacies’ which can influence the degree of political stability experienced by countries after civil wars that end in rebel victory. Specifically, it predicts that variations in a) the character, scope, and extent of rebel-civilian wartime interaction, and; b) the decisiveness, costs, and payoffs of victory, combine to influence the legitimacy, capacity to govern, and capacity to control that rebels have when they capture power. These legacies in turn shape incentives and opportunities for violent challenge to the new regime in the postwar environment, thereby lowering or raising the prospects for political stability. To illustrate the utility of the theory, it is applied to three cases which experienced differing levels of political stability following rebel victory; Cuba, Uganda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Item Type:Articles
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Wedgwood Young, Enrique
Authors: Wedgwood Young, E.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences
Journal Name:Studies in Conflict and Terrorism
Publisher:Taylor and Francis
ISSN (Online):1521-0731
Published Online:17 June 2020
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2020 The Author
First Published:First published in Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 46(5): 703-727
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons License

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
303166Scottish Graduate School Science Doctoral Training Partnership (DTP)Mary Beth KneafseyEconomic and Social Research Council (ESRC)ES/P000681/1SS - Academic & Student Administration