Evaluating underlying inflation measures for Russia

Deryugina, E., Ponomarenko, A., Sinyakov, A. and Sorokin, C. (2018) Evaluating underlying inflation measures for Russia. Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 11(2), pp. 124-145. (doi: 10.1080/17520843.2017.1301511)

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Abstract

We apply several tests to the underlying inflation measures used in practice by central banks and/or proposed in the academic literature in an attempt to find the best-performing indicators. We find that although there is no single best measure of underlying inflation, indicators calculated on the basis of dynamic factor models are generally among the best performers. These best performers not only outdid the simpler traditional underlying indicators (trimmed and exclusion-based measures) but also proved to be economically meaningful and interpretable.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Sorokin, Dr Constantine
Authors: Deryugina, E., Ponomarenko, A., Sinyakov, A., and Sorokin, C.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics
Journal Name:Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies
Publisher:Taylor & Francis
ISSN:1752-0843
ISSN (Online):1752-0851
Published Online:16 March 2017

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