Claassen, C. (2020) Does public support help democracy survive? American Journal of Political Science, 64(1), pp. 118-134. (doi: 10.1111/ajps.12452)
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Abstract
It is widely believed that democracy requires public support to survive. The empirical evidence for this hypothesis is weak, however, with existing tests resting on small cross‐sectional samples and producing contradictory results. The underlying problem is that survey measures of support for democracy are fragmented across time, space, and different survey questions. In response, this article uses a Bayesian latent variable model to estimate a smooth country‐year panel of democratic support for 135 countries and up to 29 years. The article then demonstrates a positive effect of support on subsequent democratic change, while adjusting for the possible confounding effects of prior levels of democracy and unobservable time‐invariant factors. Support is, moreover, more robustly linked with the endurance of democracy than its emergence in the first place. As Lipset (1959) and Easton (1965) hypothesized over 50 years ago, public support does indeed help democracy survive.
Item Type: | Articles |
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Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID: | Claassen, Professor Christopher |
Authors: | Claassen, C. |
College/School: | College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Politics |
Journal Name: | American Journal of Political Science |
Publisher: | Wiley |
ISSN: | 0092-5853 |
ISSN (Online): | 1540-5907 |
Published Online: | 31 July 2019 |
Copyright Holders: | Copyright ©2019 Midwest Political Science Association |
First Published: | First published in American Journal of Political Science 64(1): 118-134 |
Publisher Policy: | Reproduced in accordance with the publisher copyright policy |
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