Long-run urban dynamics: understanding local housing market change in London

Gibb, K. , Meen, G. and Nygaard, C. (2019) Long-run urban dynamics: understanding local housing market change in London. Housing Studies, 34(2), pp. 338-359. (doi: 10.1080/02673037.2018.1491533)

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Recently, a literature has emerged using empirical techniques to study the evolution of international cities over many centuries; however, few studies examine long-run change within cities. Conventional models and concepts are not always appropriate and data issues make long-run neighbourhood analysis particularly problematic. This paper addresses some of these points. First, it discusses why the analysis of long-run urban change is important for modern urban policy and considers the most important concepts. Second, it constructs a novel data set at the micro level, which allows consistent comparisons of London neighbourhoods in 1881 and 2001. Third, the paper models some of the key factors that affected long-run change, including the role of housing. There is evidence that the relative social positions of local urban areas persist over time but, nevertheless, at fine spatial scales, local areas still exhibit change, arising from aggregate population dynamics, from advances in technology, and also from the effects of shocks, such as wars. In general, where small areas are considered, long-run changes are likely to be greater, because individuals are more mobile over short than long distances. Finally, the paper considers the implications for policy.

Item Type:Articles
Keywords:Persistence, social status, institutions, local dynamics.
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Gibb, Professor Ken
Authors: Gibb, K., Meen, G., and Nygaard, C.
Subjects:H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
College/School:College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Urban Studies
Journal Name:Housing Studies
Publisher:Taylor and Francis
ISSN (Online):1466-1810
Published Online:09 July 2018
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2018 Informa UK Limited
First Published:First published in Housing Studies 34(2):338-359
Publisher Policy:Reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher

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