Complex interstate rivals

Valeriano, B. and Powers, M. (2016) Complex interstate rivals. Foreign Policy Analysis, 12(4), pp. 552-570. (doi: 10.1111/fpa.12057)

Abstract

The goal of this article is to engage the concept of rivalry, analyze its possible deficiencies, and empirically identify which groups of states make up what we call complex rivals. A complex rivalry is defined as a group of at least three states whose relationships are linked by common issues, alignments, or dispute joiner dynamics in which there is a threat of militarized conflict and includes persistent long-term interactions and collective animosity. Once the cases that make up complex rivals are described, we examine the dynamics of conflict within complex rivalries. We show that complex rivals tend to follow a different path to war when compared to dyadic rivals in that they experience more war on average, are more likely to include major powers, and fight predominately over positional as opposed to spatial concerns.

• Item Type: Articles
• Status: Published
• Refereed: Yes
• Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID: Valeriano, Dr Brandon
• Authors: Valeriano, B., and Powers, M.
• College/School: College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Politics
• Journal Name: Foreign Policy Analysis
• Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
• ISSN: 1743-8586
• ISSN (Online): 1743-8594