Inflation expectations and the stability properties of nominal GDP targeting

Dennis, R. (2001) Inflation expectations and the stability properties of nominal GDP targeting. Economic Journal, 111(468), pp. 103-113. (doi:10.1111/1468-0297.00590)

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Abstract

Ball (1999) uses a small closed economy model to show that nominal GDP targeting can lead to instability. This paper extends Ball's model to uncover the role inflation expectations play in generating this instability. Allowing inflation expectations to be formed by the more general mixed expectations process, which encompasses Ball's model, we show that nominal GDP targeting is unlikely to lead to instability. We further show that in Ball's model where exact targeting causes instability that moving to inexact targeting restores stability.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Dennis, Professor Richard
Authors: Dennis, R.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics
Journal Name:Economic Journal
Publisher:Wiley
ISSN:0013-0133
ISSN (Online):1468-0297

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