Does the euro dominate Central and Eastern European money markets?

Kadow, A., Cerrato, M., MacDonald, R. and Straetmans, S. (2013) Does the euro dominate Central and Eastern European money markets? Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, pp. 700-718. (doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.06.004)

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Abstract

The so-called German Dominance Hypothesis (GDH) claimed that Bundesbank policies were transmitted into other European Monetary System (EMS) interest rates during the pre-euro era. We reformulate this hypothesis for the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that are on the verge of accessing the eurozone. We test this “Euro Dominance Hypothesis (EDH)” in a novel way using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach that combines country-specific error correction models in a global system. We find that euro area monetary policies are transmitted into CEE money market rates, providing evidence for monetary integration between the eurozone and CEE countries. Our framework also allows for introducing global monetary shocks to provide at least tentative empirical evidence regarding the effects of the recent financial crisis on monetary integration in Europe.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Cerrato, Professor Mario and MacDonald, Professor Ronald
Authors: Kadow, A., Cerrato, M., MacDonald, R., and Straetmans, S.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School
Journal Name:Journal of International Money and Finance
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0261-5606
Published Online:13 July 2012

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