Byrne, J.P. and Nagayasu, J. (2012) Common factors of the exchange risk premium in emerging European markets. Bulletin of Economic Research, 64(s1), s71-s85. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-8586.2012.00447.x)
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Publisher's URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8586.2012.00447.x
Abstract
Existing empirical evidence suggests that the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity condition may not hold due to an exchange risk premium. For a panel dataset of eleven emerging European economies we decompose this exchange risk premium into an idiosyncratic (country-specific) element and a common factor using a principal components approach. We present evidence of stationary idiosyncratic and common factors. This result leads to the conclusion of a stationary risk premium for these countries, which is consistent with previous studies often documenting a stationary premium in advanced countries. Furthermore, we report that the variation in the premium is largely attributable to a common factor influenced by economic developments in the United States.
Item Type: | Articles |
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Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID: | Byrne, Dr Joseph |
Authors: | Byrne, J.P., and Nagayasu, J. |
College/School: | College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics |
Journal Name: | Bulletin of Economic Research |
ISSN: | 0307-3378 |
ISSN (Online): | 1467-8586 |
Published Online: | 06 June 2012 |
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