A chart to predict adult height from a child's current height

Cole, T.J. and Wright, C.M. (2011) A chart to predict adult height from a child's current height. Annals of Human Biology, 38(6), pp. 662-668. (doi: 10.3109/03014460.2011.598189)

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<p>Background: A child's adult height is commonly predicted using their target height, based on mid-parent height. However, if no growth disorder is suspected, the child's current height is a far better predictor of their adult height.</p> <p>Aim: To develop a chart to predict a child's adult height from their current height, adjusting for regression to the mean.</p> <p>Subjects and methods: Data from the First Zurich Longitudinal Growth Study provided correlations between child height and adult height by age and sex, for use in a regression model predicting adult height centile from child height centile. The model was validated using data from the British 1946 and 1958 birth cohorts.</p> <p>Results: The chart is illustrated superimposed on the British 1990 boys height chart. The predicted height has a standard error of 4–5 cm for ages from 4 years to puberty in both sexes. The regression adjustment partially compensates for biased predictions in early and late developers in puberty. A simplified version of the chart for restricted age ranges is also shown, as used on the UK-WHO 0–4 years growth charts.</p> <p>Conclusion: The height prediction chart should be of value for parents, and indirectly professionals, to predict adult height in their children.</p>

Item Type:Articles
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Wright, Professor Charlotte
Authors: Cole, T.J., and Wright, C.M.
Subjects:R Medicine > RJ Pediatrics > RJ101 Child Health. Child health services
College/School:College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Medicine, Dentistry & Nursing > Clinical Specialities
Journal Name:Annals of Human Biology

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