Productivity, demand and regulated price effects revisited: an analysis of the real bilateral exchange rates of four new EU member states

MacDonald, R. and Wojick, C. (2008) Productivity, demand and regulated price effects revisited: an analysis of the real bilateral exchange rates of four new EU member states. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 44(3), pp. 48-65. (doi:10.2753/REE1540-496X440304)

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Abstract

This paper examines the behavior of internal price ratios and bilateral real exchange rates of a group of four new EU member states-Estonia, Hungary, Slovakia, and Slovenia. We employ a dynamic ordinary least squares panel estimator to investigate the relative importance of demand and supply influences on the internal and external exchange rates of these countries. Our analysis shows that both supply- and demand-side effects are important, though supply-side effects dominate. The paper also examines the role that administrated or regulated prices and the productivity of the distribution sector play in real exchange rate dynamics. We show that administrated prices have been a powerful force behind price and real exchange developments for our group of accession countries.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:MacDonald, Professor Ronald
Authors: MacDonald, R., and Wojick, C.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > Adam Smith Business School > Economics
Journal Name:Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
ISSN:1540-496X

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