Cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 29 cancer groups from 2010 to 2019

Kocarnik, J. M. et al. (2022) Cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 29 cancer groups from 2010 to 2019. JAMA Oncology, 8(3), pp. 420-444. (doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.6987) (PMID:34967848) (PMCID:PMC8719276)

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Abstract

Importance: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) provided systematic estimates of incidence, morbidity, and mortality to inform local and international efforts toward reducing cancer burden. Objective: To estimate cancer burden and trends globally for 204 countries and territories and by Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles from 2010 to 2019. Evidence Review: The GBD 2019 estimation methods were used to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and over the past decade. Estimates are also provided by quintiles of the SDI, a composite measure of educational attainment, income per capita, and total fertility rate for those younger than 25 years. Estimates include 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings: In 2019, there were an estimated 23.6 million (95% UI, 22.2-24.9 million) new cancer cases (17.2 million when excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and 10.0 million (95% UI, 9.36-10.6 million) cancer deaths globally, with an estimated 250 million (235-264 million) DALYs due to cancer. Since 2010, these represented a 26.3% (95% UI, 20.3%-32.3%) increase in new cases, a 20.9% (95% UI, 14.2%-27.6%) increase in deaths, and a 16.0% (95% UI, 9.3%-22.8%) increase in DALYs. Among 22 groups of diseases and injuries in the GBD 2019 study, cancer was second only to cardiovascular diseases for the number of deaths, years of life lost, and DALYs globally in 2019. Cancer burden differed across SDI quintiles. The proportion of years lived with disability that contributed to DALYs increased with SDI, ranging from 1.4% (1.1%-1.8%) in the low SDI quintile to 5.7% (4.2%-7.1%) in the high SDI quintile. While the high SDI quintile had the highest number of new cases in 2019, the middle SDI quintile had the highest number of cancer deaths and DALYs. From 2010 to 2019, the largest percentage increase in the numbers of cases and deaths occurred in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this systematic analysis suggest that the global burden of cancer is substantial and growing, with burden differing by SDI. These results provide comprehensive and comparable estimates that can potentially inform efforts toward equitable cancer control around the world.

Item Type:Articles
Additional Information:The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation received funding from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities. Dr Aljunid acknowledges the Department of Health Policy and Management of Kuwait University and the International Centre for Casemix and Clinical Coding, National University of Malaysia for the approval and support to participate in this research project. Dr Bhaskar acknowledges institutional support from the NSW Ministry of Health and NSW Health Pathology. Dr Bärnighausen was supported by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, which is funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Dr Braithwaite acknowledges funding from the National Institutes of Health/ National Cancer Institute. Dr Conde acknowledges financial support from the European Research Council ERC Starting Grant agreement No 848325. Dr Costa acknowledges her grant (SFRH/BHD/110001/2015), received by Portuguese national funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia, IP under the Norma Transitória grant DL57/2016/CP1334/CT0006. Dr Ghith acknowledges support from a grant from Novo Nordisk Foundation (NNF16OC0021856). Dr Glasbey is supported by a National Institute of Health Research Doctoral Research Fellowship. Dr Vivek Kumar Gupta acknowledges funding support from National Health and Medical Research Council Australia. Dr Haque thanks Jazan University, Saudi Arabia for providing access to the Saudi Digital Library for this research study. Drs Herteliu, Pana, and Ausloos are partially supported by a grant of the Romanian National Authority for Scientific Research and Innovation, CNDS-UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P4-ID-PCCF-2016-0084. Dr Hugo received support from the Higher Education Improvement Coordination of the Brazilian Ministry of Education for a sabbatical period at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, between September 2019 and August 2020. Dr Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam acknowledges funding by a National Heart Foundation of Australia Fellowship and National Health and Medical Research Council Emerging Leadership Fellowship. Dr Jakovljevic acknowledges support through grant OI 175014 of the Ministry of Education Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. Dr Katikireddi acknowledges funding from a NHS Research Scotland Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/2), and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU17). Dr Md Nuruzzaman Khan acknowledges the support of Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Bangladesh. Dr Yun Jin Kim was supported by the Research Management Centre, Xiamen University Malaysia (XMUMRF/2020-C6/ITCM/0004). Dr Koulmane Laxminarayana acknowledges institutional support from Manipal Academy of Higher Education. Dr Landires is a member of the Sistema Nacional de Investigación, which is supported by Panama’s Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación. Dr Loureiro was supported by national funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia under the Scientific Employment Stimulus–Institutional Call (CEECINST/00049/2018). Dr Molokhia is supported by the National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Center at Guy’s and St Thomas’ National Health Service Foundation Trust and King’s College London. Dr Moosavi appreciates NIGEB's support. Dr Pati acknowledges support from the SIAN Institute, Association for Biodiversity Conservation & Research. Dr Rakovac acknowledges a grant from the government of the Russian Federation in the context of World Health Organization Noncommunicable Diseases Office. Dr Samy was supported by a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. Dr Sheikh acknowledges support from Health Data Research UK. Drs Adithi Shetty and Unnikrishnan acknowledge support given by Kasturba Medical College, Mangalore, Manipal Academy of Higher Education. Dr Pavanchand H. Shetty acknowledges Manipal Academy of Higher Education for their research support. Dr Diego Augusto Santos Silva was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - Brasil Finance Code 001 and is supported in part by CNPq (302028/2018-8). Dr Zhu acknowledges the Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas grant RP210042.
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Katikireddi, Professor Vittal
Authors: Kocarnik, J. M., Compton, K., Dean, F. E., Fu, W., Gaw, B. L., Harvey, J. D., Henrikson, H. J., Lu, D., Pennini, A., Xu, R., Ababneh, E., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Elsalam, S. M., Abdoli, A., Abedi, A., Abidi, H., Abolhassani, H., Adedeji, I. A., Adnani, Q. E. S., Advani, S. M., Afzal, M. S., Aghaali, M., Ahinkorah, B. O., Ahmad, S., Ahmad, T., Ahmadi, A., Ahmadi, S., Ahmed Rashid, T., Ahmed Salih, Y., Akalu, G. T., Aklilu, A., Akram, T., Akunna, C. J., Al Hamad, H., Alahdab, F., Al-Aly, Z., Ali, S., Alimohamadi, Y., Alipour, V., Aljunid, S. M., Alkhayyat, M., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Almasri, N. A., Al-Maweri, S. A. A., Almustanyir, S., Alonso, N., Alvis-Guzman, N., Amu, H., Anbesu, E. W., Ancuceanu, R., Ansari, F., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Antwi, M. H., Anvari, D., Anyasodor, A. E., Aqeel, M., Arabloo, J., Arab-Zozani, M., Aremu, O., Ariffin, H., Aripov, T., Arshad, M., Artaman, A., Arulappan, J., Asemi, Z., Asghari Jafarabadi, M., Ashraf, T., Atorkey, P., Aujayeb, A., Ausloos, M., Awedew, A. F., Ayala Quintanilla, B. P., Ayenew, T., Azab, M. A., Azadnajafabad, S., Azari Jafari, A., Azarian, G., Azzam, A. Y., Badiye, A. D., Bahadory, S., Baig, A. A., Baker, J. L., Balakrishnan, S., Banach, M., Bärnighausen, T. W., Barone-Adesi, F., Barra, F., Barrow, A., Behzadifar, M., Belgaumi, U. I., Bezabhe, W. M. M., Bezabih, Y. M., Bhagat, D. S., Bhagavathula, A. S., Bhardwaj, N., Bhardwaj, P., Bhaskar, S., Bhattacharyya, K., Bhojaraja, V. S., Bibi, S., Bijani, A., Biondi, A., Bisignano, C., Bjørge, T., Bleyer, A., Blyuss, O., Bolarinwa, O. A., Bolla, S. R., Braithwaite, D., Brar, A., Brenner, H., Bustamante-Teixeira, M. T., Butt, N. S., Butt, Z. A., Caetano dos Santos, F. L., Cao, Y., Carreras, G., Catalá-López, F., Cembranel, F., Cerin, E., Cernigliaro, A., Chakinala, R. C., Chattu, S. K., Chattu, V. K., Chaturvedi, P., Chimed-Ochir, O., Cho, D. Y., Christopher, D. J., Chu, D.-T., Chung, M. T., Conde, J., Cortés, S., Cortesi, P. A., Costa, V. M., Cunha, A. R., Dadras, O., Dagnew, A. B., Dahlawi, S. M. A., Dai, X., Dandona, L., Dandona, R., Darwesh, A. M., das Neves, J., De la Hoz, F. P., Demis, A. B., Denova-Gutiérrez, E., Dhamnetiya, D., Dhimal, M. L., Dhimal, M., Dianatinasab, M., Diaz, D., Djalalinia, S., Do, H. P., Doaei, S., Dorostkar, F., dos Santos Figueiredo, F. W., Driscoll, T. R., Ebrahimi, H., Eftekharzadeh, S., El Tantawi, M., El-Abid, H., Elbarazi, I., Elhabashy, H. R., Elhadi, M., El-Jaafary, S. I., Eshrati, B., Eskandarieh, S., Esmaeilzadeh, F., Etemadi, A., Ezzikouri, S., Faisaluddin, M., Faraon, E. J. A., Fares, J., Farzadfar, F., Feroze, A. H., Ferrero, S., Ferro Desideri, L., Filip, I., Fischer, F., Fisher, J. 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M., Rajai, N., Rajesh, A., Rakovac, I., Ram, P., Ramezanzadeh, K., Ranabhat, K., Ranasinghe, P., Rao, C. R., Rao, S. J., Rawassizadeh, R., Razeghinia, M. S., Renzaho, A. M. N., Rezaei, N., Rezaei, N., Rezapour, A., Roberts, T. J., Rodriguez, J. A. B., Rohloff, P., Romoli, M., Ronfani, L., Roshandel, G., Rwegerera, G. M., S, M., Sabour, S., Saddik, B., Saeed, U., Sahebkar, A., Sahoo, H., Salehi, S., Salem, M. R., Salimzadeh, H., Samaei, M., Samy, A. M., Sanabria, J., Sankararaman, S., Santric-Milicevic, M. M., Sardiwalla, Y., Sarveazad, A., Sathian, B., Sawhney, M., Saylan, M., Schneider, I. J. C., Sekerija, M., Seylani, A., Shafaat, O., Shaghaghi, Z., Shaikh, M. A., Shamsoddin, E., Shannawaz, M., Sharma, R., Sheikh, A., Sheikhbahaei, S., Shetty, A., Shetty, J. K., Shetty, P. H., Shibuya, K., Shirkoohi, R., Shivakumar, K. M., Shivarov, V., Siabani, S., Siddappa Malleshappa, S. K., Silva, D. A. S., Singh, J. A., Sintayehu, Y., Skryabin, V. Y., Skryabina, A. A., Soeberg, M. J., Sofi-Mahmudi, A., Sotoudeh, H., Steiropoulos, P., Straif, K., Subedi, R., Sufiyan, M.'a. B., Sultan, I., Sultana, S., Sur, D., Szerencsés, V., Szócska, M., Tabarés-Seisdedos, R., Tabuchi, T., Tadbiri, H., Taherkhani, A., Takahashi, K., Talaat, I. M., Tan, K.-K., Tat, V. Y., Tedla, B. A. A., Tefera, Y. G., Tehrani-Banihashemi, A., Temsah, M.-H., Tesfay, F. H., Tessema, G. A., Thapar, R., Thavamani, A., Thoguluva Chandrasekar, V., Thomas, N., Tohidinik, H. R., Touvier, M., Tovani-Palone, M. R., Traini, E., Tran, B. X., Tran, K. B., Tran, M. T. N., Tripathy, J. P., Tusa, B. S., Ullah, I., Ullah, S., Umapathi, K. K., Unnikrishnan, B., Upadhyay, E., Vacante, M., Vaezi, M., Valadan Tahbaz, S., Velazquez, D. Z., Veroux, M., Violante, F. S., Vlassov, V., Vo, B., Volovici, V., Vu, G. T., Waheed, Y., Wamai, R. G., Ward, P., Wen, Y. F., Westerman, R., Winkler, A. S., Yadav, L., Yahyazadeh Jabbari, S. H., Yang, L., Yaya, S., Yazie, T. S. Y., Yeshaw, Y., Yonemoto, N., Younis, M. Z., Yousefi, Z., Yu, C., Yuce, D., Yunusa, I., Zadnik, V., Zare, F., Zastrozhin, M. S., Zastrozhina, A., Zhang, J., Zhong, C., Zhou, L., Zhu, C., Ziapour, A., Zimmermann, I. R., Fitzmaurice, C., Murray, C. J. L., and Force, L. M.
College/School:College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Health & Wellbeing > MRC/CSO SPHSU
Journal Name:JAMA Oncology
Publisher:American Medical Association
ISSN:2374-2437
ISSN (Online):2374-2445
Published Online:30 December 2021
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2021 Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration
First Published:First published in JAMA Oncology 8(3): 420-444
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons License

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
3048230021Inequalities in healthAlastair LeylandMedical Research Council (MRC)MC_UU_00022/2HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
3048230071Inequalities in healthAlastair LeylandOffice of the Chief Scientific Adviser (CSO)SPHSU17HW - MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
172690Understanding the impacts of welfare policy on health: A novel data linkage studySrinivasa KatikireddiOffice of the Chief Scientific Adviser (CSO)SCAF/15/02SHW - Public Health