Liñeira, R. (2021) Valence secession? Voting shocks and independence support in Scotland. Politics and Governance, 9(4), pp. 399-411. (doi: 10.17645/pag.v9i4.4571)
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Publisher's URL: https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v9i4.4571
Abstract
National identifications, cues from political actors, and cost-benefit calculations have been pointed as the main determinants of secession preferences. However, a recent surge in independence support in Scotland suggests that abrupt political changes may also affect these preferences: Brexit and the differentiated management of the Covid-19 pandemic by the UK and the Scottish governments are named as causes of the first independence sustained majority registered by polling in Scotland. In this article, I discuss how voting shocks may affect the levels of support for independence, revise the evidence that sustains these claims, and analyse how they have changed the profile of the pro-independence voter. The effect of these questions has substantial implications for a possible second independence referendum in Scotland, as well as for the broader debate on the sources of secession support.
Item Type: | Articles |
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Status: | Published |
Refereed: | Yes |
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID: | Lineira, Dr Robert |
Authors: | Liñeira, R. |
College/School: | College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Politics |
Journal Name: | Politics and Governance |
Publisher: | Cogitatio Press |
ISSN: | 2183-2463 |
Published Online: | 10 December 2021 |
Copyright Holders: | Copyright © 2021 The Author |
First Published: | First published in Politics and Governance 9(4): 399-411 |
Publisher Policy: | Reproduced under a Creative Commons licence |
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