The hierarchies of age-period-cohort research: political context and the development of generational turnout patterns

Smets, K. and Neundorf, A. (2014) The hierarchies of age-period-cohort research: political context and the development of generational turnout patterns. Electoral Studies, 33, pp. 41-51. (doi: 10.1016/j.electstud.2013.06.009)

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Abstract

Voters that come of age at roughly the same time share common influences because of the specific political context during their formative years. We can therefore assume the errors in a model explaining their political behavior to be dependent. Recent advances in social statistical analysis of age-period-cohort (APC) effects propose the use of hierarchical modeling in combination with repeated cross-sectional survey design to solve this problem. We apply these random-intercept models to assess the impact of the political context on the development of generational turnout patterns, assuming that cohorts that grew up in a highly-politicized context have a higher propensity to turnout to vote despite of any age or period effects.

Item Type:Articles
Status:Published
Refereed:Yes
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Neundorf, Professor Anja
Authors: Smets, K., and Neundorf, A.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Politics
Journal Name:Electoral Studies
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:0261-3794
ISSN (Online):1873-6890
Published Online:08 July 2013

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