Local variance in the crime drop: a longitudinal study of neighbourhoods in greater Glasgow, Scotland

Bannister, J., Bates, E. and Kearns, A. (2018) Local variance in the crime drop: a longitudinal study of neighbourhoods in greater Glasgow, Scotland. British Journal of Criminology, 58(1), pp. 177-199. (doi: 10.1093/bjc/azx022)

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This paper reports on a novel longitudinal study of local variation in the decline of recorded crime in Greater Glasgow, United Kingdom. We deploy group trajectory analysis (exploring spatial autocorrelation with Local Moran’s I) and comparison of means to explore the underlying characteristics and trajectories of neighbourhoods over time. The research finds marked distinction in the level of crime and trajectories of different neighbourhood crime groups. Neighbourhood crime trajectories with high or low levels of crime exhibit spatial clustering and significant distinction in their characteristics. There is more limited spatial patterning, though still clear distinction between the characteristics of neighbourhood crime groups that exhibit different crime trajectories. We consider the research and policy implications of these findings.

Item Type:Articles
Glasgow Author(s) Enlighten ID:Bannister, Mr Jonathan and Kearns, Professor Ade and Bates, Mrs Eleanor
Authors: Bannister, J., Bates, E., and Kearns, A.
College/School:College of Social Sciences > School of Social and Political Sciences > Urban Studies
Journal Name:British Journal of Criminology
Publisher:Oxford University Press
ISSN (Online):1464-3529
Published Online:05 April 2017
Copyright Holders:Copyright © 2017 The Authors
First Published:First published in British Journal of Criminology 58(1): 177-199
Publisher Policy:Reproduced under a Creative Commons License

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Project CodeAward NoProject NamePrincipal InvestigatorFunder's NameFunder RefLead Dept
589501Applied Quantitative Methods Network: Phase II (AQMeN 2)Nick BaileyEconomic & Social Research Council (ESRC)ES/K006460/1SPS - URBAN STUDIES